Transmission Dynamics of the Etiological Agent of SARS in Hong Kong: Impact of Public Health Interventions

Riley, Steven; Fraser, Christophe; A. Donnelly, Christl; C. Ghani, Azra; J. Abu-Raddad, Laith; J. Hedley, Anthony; M. Leung, Gabriel; Ho, Lai-Ming; Lam, Tai-Hing; Q. Thach, Thuan; Chau, Patsy; Chan, King-Pan; Lo, Su-Vui; Leung, Pak-Yin; Tsang, Thomas; Ho, William; Lee, Koon-Hung; M. C. Lau, Edith; M. Ferguson, Neil; M. Anderson, Roy

doi:10.1126/science.1086478

Public

Transmission Dynamics of the Etiological Agent of SARS in Hong Kong: Impact of Public Health Interventions

Shared by NobleBlocks on Jun 20, 2003 • 12:00 AM UTC

Authors:

Steven Riley

Christophe Fraser

Christl A. Donnelly

Abstract

We present an analysis of the first 10 weeks of the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) epidemic in Hong Kong. The epidemic to date has been characterized by two large clusters—initiated by two separate “super-spread” events (SSEs)—and by ongoing community transmission. By fitting a stochastic ...

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