Dependence of the evolution of carbon dynamics in the northern permafrost region on the trajectory of climate change

David McGuire, A.; M. Lawrence, David; D. Koven, Charles; S. Clein, J.; Burke, Eleanor; Chen, Guangsheng; Jafarov, Elchin; H. MacDougall, Andrew; S. Marchenko, S.; Nicolsky, Dmitry; Peng, Shushi; Rinke, Annette; Ciais, Philippe; Gouttevin, Isabelle; J. Hayes, Daniel; Ji, Duoying; Krinner, Gerhard; C. Moore, John; Romanovsky, V.; Schädel, Christina; Schaefer, Kevin; A. G. Schuur, Edward; Zhuang, Qianlai

doi:10.1073/pnas.1719903115

Public

Dependence of the evolution of carbon dynamics in the northern permafrost region on the trajectory of climate change

Published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences • Mar 26, 2018

Authors:

A. David McGuire

David M. Lawrence

Charles D. Koven

Abstract

-g carbon) loss to 70-Pg C gain. For the RCP8.5 projection, losses in soil carbon varied between 74 and 652 Pg C (mean loss, 341 Pg C). For the RCP4.5 projection, gains in vegetation carbon were largely responsible for the overall projected net gains in ecosystem carbon by 2299 (8- to 244-Pg C gains...

Subject

Permafrost

Environmental science

Soil carbon

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