Improved inference of time-varying reproduction numbers during infectious disease outbreaks

N. Thompson, Robin; Stockwin, J.E.; D. van Gaalen, Rolina; A. Polonsky, Jonathan; N. Kamvar, Zhian; Demarsh, P.A.; Dahlqwist, Elisabeth; Li, S.; Miguel, Eve; Jombart, Thibaut; Lessler, Justin; Cauchemez, Simon; Cori, Anne

doi:10.1016/j.epidem.2019.100356

Public

Improved inference of time-varying reproduction numbers during infectious disease outbreaks

Published in Epidemics • Aug 26, 2019

Authors:

Robin N. Thompson

J.E. Stockwin

Rolina D. van Gaalen

Abstract

Accurate estimation of the parameters characterising infectious disease transmission is vital for optimising control interventions during epidemics. A valuable metric for assessing the current threat posed by an outbreak is the time-dependent reproduction number, i.e. the expected number of secondar...

Subject

Outbreak

Infectious disease (medical specialty)

Basic reproduction number

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