Estimation of the reproductive number of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) and the probable outbreak size on the Diamond Princess cruise ship: A data-driven analysis

Zhang, Sheng; Diao, Mengyuan; Yu, Wenbo; Pei, Lei; Lin, Zhaofen; Chen, Dechang

doi:10.1016/j.ijid.2020.02.033

Public

Estimation of the reproductive number of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) and the probable outbreak size on the Diamond Princess cruise ship: A data-driven analysis

Published in International Journal of Infectious Diseases • Feb 22, 2020

Authors:

Sheng Zhang

Mengyuan Diao

Wenbo Yu

Abstract

BACKGROUNDS: Up to February 16, 2020, 355 cases have been confirmed as having COVID-19 infection on the Diamond Princess cruise ship. It is of crucial importance to estimate the reproductive number (R0) of the novel virus in the early stage of outbreak and make a prediction of daily new cases on the...

Subject

Outbreak

Confidence interval

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)

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