The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak

Chinazzi, Matteo; T. Davis, Jessica; Ajelli, Marco; Gioannini, Corrado; Litvinova, Maria; Merler, Stefano; Pastore y Piontti, Ana; Mu, Kunpeng; Rossi, Luca; Sun, Kaiyuan; Viboud, Cécile; Xiong, Xinyue; Yu, Hongjie; Elizabeth Halloran, M.; M. Longini, Ira; Vespignani, Alessandro

doi:10.1126/science.aba9757

Public

The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak

Published in Science • Mar 6, 2020

Authors:

Matteo Chinazzi

Jessica T. Davis

Marco Ajelli

Abstract

Motivated by the rapid spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in mainland China, we use a global metapopulation disease transmission model to project the impact of travel limitations on the national and international spread of the epidemic. The model is calibrated on the basis of internationa...

Subject

Quarantine

Outbreak

Pandemic

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