Potential lethal outbreak of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) among the elderly in retirement homes and long-term facilities, France, March 2020

Étard, Jean-François; Vanhems, Philippe; Atlani-Duault, Laëtitia; Écochard, René

doi:10.2807/1560-7917.es.2020.25.15.2000448

Public

Potential lethal outbreak of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) among the elderly in retirement homes and long-term facilities, France, March 2020

Published in Eurosurveillance • Apr 16, 2020

Authors:

Jean-François Étard

Philippe Vanhems

Laëtitia Atlani-Duault

Abstract

Motivated by the potential devastating effect of a COVID-19 outbreak in retirement homes and long-term facilities for dependent elderly, we present the impact of worst-case scenarios in French institutions using a specific age structure and case-age fatality ratios. The death toll could equal the ye...

Subject

Outbreak

Death toll

Case fatality rate

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