How politics affect pandemic forecasting: spatio-temporal early warning capabilities of different geo-social media topics in the context of state-level political leaning.

Arifi, Dorian; Resch, Bernd; Santillana, Mauricio; Knoblauch, Steffen; Lautenbach, Sven; Jaenisch, Thomas; Morales, Ivonne

doi:10.3389/fpubh.2025.1618347

Public

How politics affect pandemic forecasting: spatio-temporal early warning capabilities of different geo-social media topics in the context of state-level political leaning.

Shared by NobleBlocks on Jan 1, 2025 • 12:00 AM UTC

Authors:

Dorian Arifi

Bernd Resch

Mauricio Santillana

Abstract

Objectives: Due to political polarization, adherence to public health measures varied across US states during the COVID-19 pandemic. Although social media posts have been shown effective in anticipating COVID-19 surges, the impact of political leaning on the effectiveness of different topics for ear...

Subject

epidemiological early warning

geo-social media

political polarization

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