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Forecasting seasonal outbreaks of influenza.

Published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America • Dec 11, 2012
Authors:
Jeffrey Shaman
,
Alicia Karspeck

Abstract

Influenza recurs seasonally in temperate regions of the world; however, our ability to predict the timing, duration, and magnitude of local seasonal outbreaks of influenza remains limited. Here we develop a framework for initializing real-time forecasts of seasonal influenza outbreaks, using a data ...

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